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Closing costs and break-even

By Samprit Biswas, editor · Updated October 8, 2026

Every new loan has a price at the start: its closing costs. Break-even is the month when what the new loan saves you has repaid them. Before it, refinancing has cost you money; after it, it has saved you some.

An example loan's costs and break-even

An example loan: 7.875%, $412,000, 27 years left, on a home worth $550,000.

Today's 30-year fixed refinance estimate for it: 7.26% rate, 7.38% APR.

Closing costs, as our check estimates them
  • Closing costs$6,985
  • A fixed cost: fees, title, appraisal$2,000
  • 1.21 points on $412,000$4,985
Break-even on $6,985 of closing costs
  • A new 30-year loanMonth 35 of 324
  • Over the same 27 yearsMonth 34 of 324

Estimate, not an offer · FFIEC, week of Oct 5, 2026 · Fannie Mae, dated Sep 30, 2026 · U.S. Treasury, Oct 7, 2026 · Agarwal, Driscoll and Laibson, dated Oct 6, 2026

Sources and licences
Average prime offer rates (FFIEC)

Average prime offer rates published by the FFIEC for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau; a U.S. government work in the public domain.

Loan-level price adjustments (Fannie Mae)

Borrower adjustments derived from Fannie Mae's Loan-Level Price Adjustment Matrix dated September 30, 2026. Fannie Mae does not endorse these estimates.

Daily Treasury par yield curve (U.S. Treasury)

10-year par yield from the U.S. Department of the Treasury's daily par yield curve rates.

Refinance trigger (Agarwal, Driscoll and Laibson)

The trigger follows Agarwal, Driscoll and Laibson, "Optimal Mortgage Refinancing: A Closed-Form Solution", Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2013, with that paper's assumptions except the tax rate.

What is in them

The lender's fees for making the loan, any discount points, title insurance and the title search, an appraisal, and the county's recording fees. Until you type your lender's figure, our check assumes a published fixed amount for the fees, plus the points today's estimate is priced at, as a share of your balance.

Our check assumes you pay them in cash at closing. Adding them to the loan instead raises your balance, and you pay interest on them for the life of the loan.

How we count the savings

We count the interest the new loan saves you, month by month, not the drop in your payment. A longer new term lowers the payment partly by spreading your balance over more years, which is not a saving, so counting interest keeps a longer term from flattering the answer. That is why a new loan over the years you have left usually breaks even sooner.

Points move the costs

Paying discount points raises the closing costs and lowers the rate, so break-even comes later and the savings after it are larger. Points pay only if you keep the loan long enough to pass that later break-even.

Break-even is not the whole answer

A loan that breaks even in a few years can still be a poor choice today if rates may fall further: refinancing now gives up the chance to refinance lower later. Your trigger rate counts that chance too.

Check your own loan

How to cite this page

InfinityRateWatch. "Closing costs and break-even." https://infinityratewatch.com/learn/closing-costs-and-break-even/. Data as of Oct 8, 2026.